The greatest variance happens on the return of serve. The fewest winners and most errors are hit on the return than on any other specific rally length. Looking at the return differential of -17% in another way, WTA players make almost 10 return errors to every winner.
The Tennis Analytics Blog
2022 Kalamazoo – Rally Lengths
Generally, stronger servers have a big advantage in the shorter rally lengths, drawing return errors or taking advantage of weak returns on the serve +1 stroke.
2022 B18 Kalamazoo Finals
Tien won 60% on return points vs second serves and consolidated by winning 54% of his own second serve points. He also converted almost 50% of all break points.
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